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EUR/USD Weakens as Fed Uncertainty Rises and Eurozone Inflation Softens

  • itay5873
  • Nov 18, 2025
  • 2 min read

The euro is losing ground against the U.S. dollar as shifting expectations around Federal Reserve policy collide with ongoing weakness in Eurozone inflation. The result is a steadily softening EUR/USD pair, with traders positioning cautiously around upcoming macro signals.


Dollar Strength Returns

The dollar is regaining momentum as investors grow less confident that the Federal Reserve will move forward with policy easing any time soon. Recent comments from officials and softer risk appetite have pushed traders back toward the U.S. currency, giving it a mild but clear advantage in the pair.


Euro Faces Its Own Pressures

Across the Eurozone, inflation remains uneven and fragile. Policymakers have expressed concerns about external risks, sluggish price growth, and the broader global environment all of which limit support for the euro.

Even modest improvements in Eurozone data haven’t been enough to shift sentiment.


Market Tone Tilted Bearish

The euro’s recent moves show a steady downward tilt rather than a sharp collapse. Traders describe the environment as defensive: they’re not aggressively selling the euro, but they’re not willing to buy dips either.

The pair remains sensitive to:

  • Fed messaging

  • Shifts in global risk appetite

  • Any surprises in European inflation or growth readings


What Traders Are Watching

  • The next round of U.S. data that could solidify or weaken the case for tighter policy

  • Eurozone inflation updates that may guide the ECB’s next steps

  • Whether risk sentiment globally turns defensive or stabilizes


EUR/USD isn’t in freefall but the pressure is clearly downward.

With the euro struggling to find support and the dollar benefitting from policy uncertainty, traders see a cautious, fragile environment with a slight advantage to the U.S. currency.

Until either central bank delivers a major surprise, the pair is likely to stay on the defensive.

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